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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+152/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the towering 77th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a colossal 1.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • With an excellent 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Charbonnet places as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.
  • The Texans defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 2nd-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (50.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).
  • Zach Charbonnet has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile when it comes to RBs.

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