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Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-182).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +162 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

Zach Charbonnet has accumulated a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

With a stellar 89.8% Adjusted Catch Rate (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Charbonnet rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a monstrous 0.40 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.6% red zone run rate.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).

With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Zach Charbonnet has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the league.

Zach Charbonnet's 4.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 12.1.

More Zach Charbonnet Player Props

Zach Charbonnet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6