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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Zach Charbonnet has been one of the most reliable receivers in football among running backs, catching an impressive 89.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 81st percentile.
  • Since the start of last season, the feeble Arizona Cardinals defense has given up a massive 0.25 receiving TDs per game to opposing RBs: the 6th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (49.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Among all running backs, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the 85th percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 50.0% of the workload in his offense's ground game near the goal line.
  • Zach Charbonnet has totaled a puny -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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