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Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+112/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.

Zach Charbonnet has posted a colossal 2.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

This year, the poor San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered a massive 87.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.75 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Zach Charbonnet has been given 59.2% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

More Zach Charbonnet Player Props

Zach Charbonnet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18