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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+174/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Zach Charbonnet has accumulated a massive 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • This year, the formidable Rams run defense has surrendered a mere 0.36 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Zach Charbonnet has garnered 55.7% of his offense's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 6.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 12.1.

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