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Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-101/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.

In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the towering 88th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a superb 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 13-point advantage, the Seahawks are a massive favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 51.7% red zone run rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.

More Zach Charbonnet Player Props

Zach Charbonnet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15