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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+117/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Zach Charbonnet has totaled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Zach Charbonnet's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 89.1% to 100.0%.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in football vs. the Titans defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Tennessee defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a big 12.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 49.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (52.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.

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