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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-186).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -186.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a striking 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Zach Charbonnet's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 89.0% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Out of all RBs, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the 88th percentile for red zone carries this year, comprising 56.1% of the volume in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 5.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 12.1.
  • The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Zach Charbonnet's box scores this year.

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