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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+129/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +146 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the towering 77th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • Zach Charbonnet's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 89.0% to 100.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 50.5% red zone run rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • Zach Charbonnet has earned 56.8% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 6.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 12.1.

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