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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • Out of all running backs, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the 79th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 43.8% of the workload in his offense's run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Zach Charbonnet's running effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a mere 2.78 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.26 figure last season.
  • Zach Charbonnet checks in as one of the bottom running backs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.38 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 11th percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Houston Texans run defense has allowed a paltry 86.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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