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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.
  • Out of all RBs, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the 78th percentile for carries this year, comprising 41.4% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Zach Charbonnet's 2.7 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a noteworthy diminishment in his running proficiency over last year's 4.3 figure.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 2.21 yards-after-contact this year reflects a noteable reduction in his running talent over last year's 3.35 mark.
  • This year, the strong Buccaneers run defense has conceded a feeble 96.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-best in the NFL.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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