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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Out of all RBs, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the 77th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 38.9% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (132 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Zach Charbonnet's ground effectiveness (3.76 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (23rd percentile among running backs).
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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