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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.2% run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Among all RBs, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the 78th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 41.6% of the workload in his team's ground game.
  • This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals run defense has given up a mere 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 23rd-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 3.1 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a substantial reduction in his rushing ability over last year's 4.3 rate.
  • Zach Charbonnet is positioned as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.59 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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