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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • The predictive model expects Zach Charbonnet to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's game (32.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.4% in games he has played).
  • Zach Charbonnet's rushing efficiency (6.01 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (97th percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • Zach Charbonnet grades out as one of the top RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.68 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 90th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to run support (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 96.0 per game) vs. the Ravens defense this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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