Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The predictive model expects Zach Charbonnet to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's game (32.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.4% in games he has played).
Zach Charbonnet's rushing efficiency (6.01 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (97th percentile when it comes to running backs).
Zach Charbonnet grades out as one of the top RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.68 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
As it relates to run support (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 96.0 per game) vs. the Ravens defense this year.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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