Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Zach Charbonnet

NFL · Player Props

Zach Charbonnet

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Charbonnet Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Zach Charbonnet is projected by the projections to position himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 14.5 rush attempts.
While Zach Charbonnet has garnered 26.6% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Seattle's rushing attack in this week's game at 65.6%.
Zach Charbonnet's rushing effectiveness (5.11 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (88th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Favors Under

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 36.1% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

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