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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • With a stellar 89.8% Adjusted Catch Rate (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Charbonnet rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Zach Charbonnet's 4.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 12.1.
  • Zach Charbonnet's receiving talent has tailed off this season, notching a measly 0.5 adjusted catches compared to 2.5 last season.
  • This year, the daunting Jaguars defense has allowed a meager 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

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