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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • With a terrific 2.5 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) last year, Zach Charbonnet stands among the best pass-game RBs in football.
  • Zach Charbonnet has been one of the most reliable receivers in football among running backs, catching an impressive 89.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.
  • The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • This year, the tough Cardinals defense has yielded a feeble 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in football.
  • The Cardinals linebackers profile as the 8th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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