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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

With a stellar 2.5 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) last year, Zach Charbonnet rates as one of the top pass-catching running backs in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seahawks offensive approach to lean 7.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.

The Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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