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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Zach Charbonnet's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 89.0% to 100.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Zach Charbonnet has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this season (3.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.5%).

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