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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-126/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Charbonnet grades out as one of the best pass-game RBs last year, averaging an outstanding 2.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

Last year, the poor San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.9 per game) last year.

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