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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Zach Charbonnet has accumulated a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • With a stellar 89.8% Adjusted Catch Rate (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Charbonnet rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
  • The Jaguars defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (42.0) versus RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Zach Charbonnet's 4.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 12.1.
  • Zach Charbonnet has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (3.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).
  • This year, the daunting Jaguars defense has allowed a meager 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

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