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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, the Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed opposing squads to play 8th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) this year at 27.87 seconds per play.

With an impressive 89.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Charbonnet stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.

This year, the feeble Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a whopping 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Buccaneers defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a staggering 7.38 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in just the 16th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, with just -2.0 per game.

Zach Charbonnet has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (1.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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