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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • With an outstanding 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (76th percentile) last year, Zach Charbonnet ranks among the leading pass-catching running backs in football.
  • Zach Charbonnet has been one of the most reliable receivers in football among running backs, catching an impressive 89.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.
  • Zach Charbonnet has totaled a puny -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • This year, the tough Cardinals defense has yielded a feeble 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in football.

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