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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Seattle Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-116/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

With a remarkable 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (75th percentile) last year, Zach Charbonnet ranks as one of the leading pass-game running backs in football.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (35.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seahawks offensive approach to lean 7.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.

Zach Charbonnet has put up a mere -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 15th percentile among RBs.

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