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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Zach Charbonnet has compiled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among RBs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Zach Charbonnet's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 6.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • Zach Charbonnet has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (7.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

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