Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.

In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the towering 88th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a superb 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

Zach Charbonnet's 7.7 adjusted yards per target this year represents a substantial progression in his receiving talent over last year's 6.0 mark.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 13-point advantage, the Seahawks are a massive favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.

Zach Charbonnet's 6.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 12.1.

More Zach Charbonnet Player Props

Zach Charbonnet Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15