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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • When talking about air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the towering 85th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a remarkable 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Zach Charbonnet's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 89.1% to 100.0%.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this season marks a substantial boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.0 rate.
  • The Vikings safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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