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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Zach Charbonnet has totaled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Zach Charbonnet's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 89.1% to 100.0%.
  • Zach Charbonnet's pass-game efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 7.78 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.98 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a big 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 127.6 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.

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