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Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to air yards, Zach Charbonnet ranks in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a striking 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Zach Charbonnet's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 89.0% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Zach Charbonnet's 5.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 12.1.
  • Zach Charbonnet has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
  • Zach Charbonnet's skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.74 mark last year.

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