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Xavier Hutchinson

Xavier Hutchinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Xavier Hutchinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+580/-790).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -820 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -790.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.5%) to wideouts this year (70.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • This year, the poor Raiders run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.36 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

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