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Xavier Hutchinson

Xavier Hutchinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Xavier Hutchinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.5%) to wideouts this year (70.5%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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