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Woody Marks

Woody Marks Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Woody Marks Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 7th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The 49ers defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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