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Woody Marks

Woody Marks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Woody Marks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The 49ers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against RBs this year, giving up 4.99 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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