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Woody Marks

Woody Marks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Woody Marks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans will be forced to utilize backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Texans being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Texans to pass on 61.9% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.22 seconds per play.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Bills, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.
  • The Bills defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) to running backs this year.
  • This year, the imposing Bills defense has surrendered a puny 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

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