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Woody Marks

Woody Marks Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Woody Marks Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Texans offensive approach to skew 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The model projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.53 seconds per play.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst DT corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least run-oriented offense in football (37.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

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