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Woody Marks

Woody Marks Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Woody Marks Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-121/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.22 seconds per play.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans will be forced to utilize backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Texans being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 38.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

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