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Will Shipley

Will Shipley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Will Shipley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1400/-4400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.2%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.2%).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.50 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 53.4% red zone run rate.

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