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Will Shipley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Will Shipley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -275 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -275.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Tanner McKee.

The Eagles have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Eagles offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Washington Commanders defense has been gouged for the 5th-most TDs through the air in the league to running backs: 0.25 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to pass on 51.8% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.2%) to RBs this year (78.2%).

The Commanders safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.

More Will Shipley Player Props

Will Shipley TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Will Shipley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18