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Will Levis

Will Levis TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Will Levis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+195/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -275.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest rate in the league against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (79.8% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a monstrous 1.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

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