My Account Log Out

reorder

Will Levis

Will Levis TD Passes
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Will Levis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-286).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -265 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (57.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Titans.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in football versus the Dolphins defense since the start of last season (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Dolphins defense has yielded the 4th-most passing touchdowns in football: 1.50 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Will Levis Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™