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Will Levis

Will Levis TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Will Levis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-215/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Jets defense last year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).

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