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Will Levis

Will Levis TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Will Levis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 6th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.69 per game this year.

The Bengals safeties profile as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

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