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Will Levis

Will Levis Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Will Levis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 199.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in football versus the Dolphins defense since the start of last season (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed weak efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.95 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.

The Dolphins linebackers project as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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