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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

Will Dissly Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-3400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1300 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The Chargers have been the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.

The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

This year, the tough Vikings run defense has allowed a puny 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.7 per game) this year.

With a low 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Will Dissly places among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

Will Dissly has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (4.0 per game) than he did last season (20.0 per game).

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