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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Will Dissly Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+830/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1050 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.

Will Dissly rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, completing a terrific 82.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have just 126.9 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Will Dissly has been been lightly used his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among TEs.

Will Dissly's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 27.5.

The Colts defense has allowed the 7th-fewest receiving TDs in the league to TEs: 0.33 per game this year.

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