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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.

Will Dissly has been one of the top pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

With a stellar 81.6% Adjusted Catch% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Will Dissly has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

The Dolphins defensive ends rank as the worst unit in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 123.8 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.

While Will Dissly has been responsible for 13.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's pass game in this contest at 3.2%.

The Chargers offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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