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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+111/-142).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

Will Dissly profiles as one of the best tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 3.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Will Dissly profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in football among tight ends, completing an exceptional 81.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The model projects Will Dissly to be a less important option in his team's air attack in this contest (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.8% in games he has played).

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (73.1%).

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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