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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Will Dissly's 5.1% Target Share this year indicates a significant decline in his pass game workload over last year's 14.7% mark.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Will Dissly's 1.4 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a meaningful regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 3.3 figure.
  • Will Dissly's 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 81.0% figure.

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