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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Will Dissly's 17.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 11.6.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus tight ends this year (68.7%).

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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