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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.

With a stellar 81.6% Adjusted Catch% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Will Dissly has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

With an outstanding 5.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Will Dissly places as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

The Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (59.0) vs. TEs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 123.8 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.

While Will Dissly has been responsible for 13.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's pass game in this contest at 3.2%.

The Chargers offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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